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Saudi telecom: three operators and the cost of the network, FY2018 to FY2025

Tadawul Main Market · FY2018 to FY2025 · 3 of 4 listed operators · IFRS-KSA

Three operators, one regulator, and a network whose cost is already sunk. The question is not who grows revenue but who earns more on that capital than it costs. Between FY2018 and FY2025 stc has cleared its cost of capital every year and still earns the widest spread, Mobily has been above its own hurdle five years running, and Zain KSA has not cleared it once.

Total revenues
SAR 108B
FY2025, the whole cohort
EBITDA margin
34.4%
before capital charges
See the workings
Net profit margin
17.8%
per riyal of sales
See the workings
Free cash flow
SAR 11.4B
after capital spending

Source FY2025 audited financial statements, restated in the modelWorkings data appendixUpdated 24 September 2026

How the industry works

  1. 1
    The foundation

    Regulatory and intangible assets

    The spectrum an operator buys decides what its network can ever become. stc bought enough of both bands not to have to choose, and covers 63% of the population with 5G. Mobily bought the most capacity spectrum, taking the lowest national availability for 98% across 61 cities. Zain KSA took low-band only in 2024 and has the widest 5G availability in the Kingdom at 88%.

    Where the three sit
    ReachCapacity
    • stcBoth bands
    • MobilyCapacity
    • Zain KSACoverage
    Operating licenseSpectrum

    Rights only. Nothing is built, and nothing can be switched.

  2. 2
    The plumbing

    Core transmission

    Fibre is the backbone and the backhaul that hangs off it; a tower with nothing behind it is an antenna on a dead end. stc owns the road its traffic runs on, the Saudi Vision Cable included, and defends it as transit shrinks. Mobily buys transit instead, competing on geography rather than on domestic scale. Zain KSA is a landing party through Zain Omantel International, which is access without ownership.

    Where the three sit
    Owns the roadBuys access
    • stcOwns it
    • MobilyBuys transit
    • Zain KSALands only
    Fibre backboneSubsea cable

    There is a road. There is nothing at either end of it yet.

  3. 3
    The brains

    Core network and data centers

    The core routes the traffic, authenticates the SIM and holds the subscriber record, and it is the layer that decides what an operator can sell beyond connectivity. stc is committing the most and owning the least, through the HUMAIN joint venture. Mobily is building its own rather than buying into anyone else's. Zain KSA has disclosed none, the only one of the three with nothing to show at this layer.

    Where the three sit
    Builds its ownOwns none
    • stcJoint venture
    • MobilyBuilds own
    • Zain KSANone
    SwitchingSubscriber records

    Traffic can be routed and a SIM can be recognized. No handset can reach it.

  4. 4
    The edge

    Last-mile wireless access

    This is where the network stops being wired and becomes a bar of signal, and it is the only layer two operators can share without either of them losing anything. stc no longer consolidates its towers, so the steel has left the balance sheet and come back as rent. Mobily is the last still carrying its own, and is in early talks to sell them. Zain KSA sold first, 8,069 towers in 2023, for cash plus a retained 20% stake in the buyer.

    Where the three sit
    On its own booksLeased back
    • stcSold
    • MobilyStill owns
    • Zain KSASold, kept 20%
    TowersBase stations

    The signal reaches a handset. Nothing has been billed.

  5. 5
    The commercial layer

    Provisioning and go-live

    Only here does any of it turn into revenue, and the four stages above have to be earned back. stc is the largest by a wide margin, which on a sunk-cost network is where the return comes from. Mobily turns the same capacity into the best EBITDA margin and fastest growth here. Zain KSA has the best gross margin and the worst net margin: too small for volume, and not keeping it.

    Where the three sit
    VolumeMargin
    • stcScale
    • MobilyMargin
    • Zain KSANeither
    PackagingBilling systems

    Network live. Only now is there anything to sell.

Every riyal of this is spent before a single subscriber is billed, which is why the industry's economics are decided by how many subscribers eventually ride across it. Hover a company where it is named and it lights up in every stage at once, which is its whole strategy in five marks.

Signal and capacity are not the same purchase

Not all spectrum does the same job, and the bands an operator holds tell you what it is trying to win.

Low frequencies travel a long way and pass through walls. They are what gives you a bar of signal in a basement, or on a road an hour outside Riyadh. They carry relatively little data, but they cover ground cheaply, because a single site reaches far. This is the reach purchase, and it is what a regulator has in mind when it writes coverage obligations into a license.

High frequencies do the reverse. They carry a great deal of data over a short distance and stop at the first solid object. Blanketing a city with them takes many more sites, which is expensive, but it is the only way to serve a stadium, a mall or a dense district where thousands of people are streaming at once. This is the throughput purchase.

So there are two different games being played with the same license. One operator is buying reach, which wins subscribers in places nobody else serves and shows up as coverage. Another is buying throughput where people already are, which wins usage per subscriber and shows up as data revenue. Knowing which game a given operator is playing tells you more about its next five years than its revenue growth does.

LOW BAND one site, long reach, thin pipe data carried HIGH BAND many sites, short reach, fat pipe data carried
The bands an operator holds tell you which game it is playing: covering ground nobody else reaches, or carrying traffic where people already are.

How they make money

The asset is already paid for. From here the economics are about how much traffic the same network can be made to carry, and how many different customers can be sold access to it. The cost is sunk and the marginal cost of one more customer is near zero, so an operator with more customers on the same network is not slightly more profitable than one with fewer. It is structurally more profitable, and the gap compounds.

Mobile penetration passed saturation years ago, so growth cannot come from finding people without a phone. It comes from which of three doors an operator can get through.

RetailEnterpriseWholesale
Customera persona business or the stateanother carrier
Stays fora monthyears, by contractthe life of a route
Exposed tochurntheir creditprice
  1. Where the revenue is

    Retail

    Devices and monthly packages, sold to people, and the least defended of the three doors: a subscriber can leave at the end of a month and winning one back costs a subsidized handset. stc, Mobily and Zain KSA hold it in the order of their size, which past saturation is what it looks like when nobody is winning a door, only holding it.

    Share of the three, FY2025
    • stc SAR 32.8B 63%
    • Mobily SAR 12.4B 24%
    • Zain KSA SAR 6.9B 13%
  2. Where the margin is

    Enterprise

    Long contracts sold to companies and to government bodies, where the operator sells the layers it built for itself. stc holds better than two thirds of it, a wider lead than it has in retail, but grew 0.4% in 2025 against a 3.4% fall in the public sector while Mobily grew 7.7%. Zain KSA is barely here, and this is the door the margin comes through.

    Share of the three, FY2025
    • stc SAR 13.5B 68%
    • Mobily SAR 4.7B 23%
    • Zain KSA SAR 1.8B 9%
  3. Where the growth is

    Wholesale

    Carrying another carrier's traffic across a network built for your own, so nothing new has to be built to sell it. That makes it the growth door and the easiest to lose to a rival's own route. It is also the least concentrated: stc holds under half of it, and Zain KSA takes close to a third against an eighth of retail, more than Mobily does.

    Share of the three, FY2025
    • stc SAR 4.8B 47%
    • Mobily SAR 2.2B 22%
    • Zain KSA SAR 3.1B 31%
Each bar is that operator's share of everything the three of them sell through that door in FY2025. It is a share of these three rather than of the market: Etihad Atheeb is not in this cohort, and stc's figures cover its Saudi operating business at 66% of group revenue rather than the group. Zain KSA reports before intercompany eliminations where the other two report after, which flatters its share on every door and flatters it most on wholesale.

Where the cash goes

Three uses, and each one consumes capital the other two could have had. Each is a different bet on what a telco is for, which is why return on invested capital rather than revenue growth is the measure that separates these three companies.

  1. Back into the network

    Reinvest in infrastructure

    The network itself: property, plant and the intangibles with it. Mobily now puts the largest share of revenue back in and stc the steadiest. Zain KSA's has fallen from a quarter of revenue to under a twentieth, an arithmetic consequence of selling its towers. The spending became rent, which this chart cannot see.

    Reinvest in infrastructure, each company, FY2018 to FY2025.Reinvest in infrastructure, each company, FY2018 to FY2025. The figures are listed in the table below this chart.0%10%20%30%1819202122232425
    stcMobilyZain KSA
    Chart data
    20182019202020212022202320242025
    stc18.8%20.9%18.4%13.0%11.8%13.6%15.7%15.2%
    Mobily15.1%15.6%24.5%15.0%15.5%12.1%14.7%16.4%
    Zain KSA20.2%24.3%23.1%13.8%14.8%15.4%6.8%4.5%
  2. Buy rather than build

    Acquire companies

    The same capability, bought whole instead of assembled. Only stc does this at any scale, and more than three quarters of what it has spent in eight years went in a single year. Mobily and Zain KSA have between them spent less across the whole window than stc puts into its own network in a week.

    6,989stc1Mobily33Zain KSA
    SAR millions, FY2018 to FY2025
  3. Out to shareholders

    Dividends

    The one use of cash that does not come back. stc has paid throughout, though its 2022 share split leaves the two halves of its line on different footings. Mobily began paying in 2021 and has raised it every year since. Zain KSA started in 2023 and has not moved it since, the only flat line here.

    Dividends, each company, FY2018 to FY2025.Dividends, each company, FY2018 to FY2025. The figures are listed in the table below this chart.02.04.06.08.01819202122232425split
    stcMobilyZain KSA
    Chart data
    20182019202020212022202320242025
    stc4.007.004.005.001.601.602.754.20
    Mobily0.000.000.000.500.851.152.352.51
    Zain KSA0.000.000.000.000.000.500.500.50
Every figure here is read off the workbook at build time. Two things the charts cannot say for themselves: Zain KSA's capital spending is not comparable with the other two, because selling its towers moved network cost out of capital expenditure and into lease payments, and stc's shares went from about 2.0B to about 5.0B in 2022, so its dividend per share before and after that year are not the same unit.

Why the towers left the balance sheet

For most of the industry's history an operator owned its towers. Over the past decade many have sold them, usually to a specialist tower company, and leased back the space they need.

The logic is that a tower is not a competitive asset. Two operators can hang equipment on the same mast without either being worse off, so owning steel earns nothing that renting it does not. Selling releases cash and strips a large, slow-turning asset out of invested capital, which mechanically lifts return on invested capital.

That last part deserves suspicion. A sale-leaseback improves the ratio partly by shrinking its denominator, and it replaces depreciation with a lease obligation that still has to be paid every year. When ROIC jumps in a year an operator sold its towers, the right question is how much of the improvement was operational and how much was the balance sheet getting shorter. The figures on this site are drawn from the reported accounts, which include lease liabilities, so the obligation does not disappear from view.

The three operators

Same regulator, same three-operator market, same fixed-cost physics. What separates them is what they bought at each of those five stages, and every one of them gave something up to get it.

Figures for FY2025. Market cap is at the year-end close. Listed is the month each company began trading on the Main Market.

Side by side, FY2025

Everything above is the mechanism. This is the year just reported, on one page, with all 3 of them measured the same way.

FY2025 on a like-for-like basis. The stronger figure in each row is marked; on ratios where lower is better, that is the lower one. A row where neither direction is better is left unmarked.
Measurestc7010Mobily7020Zain KSA7030
Financial Highlights
Net revenuesscale of the businessSAR 77.8BSAR 19.6BSAR 11.0B
Revenue growthyear on year+2.5%+7.9%+6.0%
EBITDA marginbefore capital charges33.2%39.1%35.1%
Net profit marginper riyal of sales19.5%17.6%5.5%
Cash Highlights
Days sales outstandingdays to collect a sale131 days114 days168 days
Capex % of revenuesas the cash flow statement reports it15.2%16.4%4.5%
Dividends per sharedeclared for the yearSAR 4.20SAR 2.51SAR 0.50
Free cash flowafter capital spendingSAR 6.5BSAR 3.4BSAR 1.5B
Operational Highlights
Mobile subscribersin Saudi Arabia30.0M14.4M8.1M
Retail revenue per subscriberretail revenues over mobile subscribers, a yearSAR 1,238SAR 877SAR 853
5G coveragein Saudi Arabia63.0%58.5%62.5%
4G coveragein Saudi Arabia99.0%98.2%98.0%
Other Highlights
Board remunerationpaid to directorsSAR 1,012MSAR 9.7MSAR 5.9M
Saudization rateof the workforce89.6%85.3%89.5%
Employeesheadcount at year end38,5002,5733,353
Revenue per employeenet revenues per full-time employeeSAR 2.0MSAR 7.6MSAR 3.3M

Marking the stronger figure is arithmetic, not a recommendation. A company can lead every row here and still be the wrong price.

Does the capital earn its keep

Return on invested capital against what that capital costs, every year from FY2018 to FY2025. Above the line the business is creating value. Below it, it is consuming value, however healthy the revenue line looks.

stc+6.9pt FY2025

0%10%20%30%ROIC 16.2%WACC 9.3%FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Chart data
20182019202020212022202320242025
ROIC20.2%19.2%19.3%18.0%19.0%14.4%15.6%16.2%
WACC13.3%11.4%7.1%7.9%8.0%10.4%9.6%9.3%
Spread+6.9pt+7.8pt+12.2pt+10.1pt+11.0pt+4.0pt+6.0pt+6.9pt

Mobily+2.6pt FY2025

0%10%20%30%ROIC 13.8%WACC 11.2%FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Chart data
20182019202020212022202320242025
ROIC3.8%5.3%6.4%7.4%9.6%12.2%14.2%13.8%
WACC9.2%9.0%7.7%4.9%8.5%9.6%9.8%11.2%
Spread-5.4pt-3.6pt-1.3pt+2.6pt+1.1pt+2.6pt+4.4pt+2.6pt

Zain KSA-0.7pt FY2025

0%10%20%30%ROIC 7.8%WACC 8.6%FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Chart data
20182019202020212022202320242025
ROIC5.7%7.8%6.8%3.7%6.8%5.7%8.0%7.8%
WACC8.9%12.2%10.8%7.3%9.2%8.8%8.6%8.6%
Spread-3.2pt-4.4pt-4.0pt-3.6pt-2.5pt-3.1pt-0.6pt-0.7pt
value createdvalue destroyedSame vertical scale in every panel. is ROIC less WACC.

What decides the next two years

Whether the spread survives the next capital cycle

5G coverage is largely built. The next call is what the operators do with the capital that is no longer going into it, and whether the businesses they put it into clear the same hurdle the network has to. A positive ROIC-to-WACC spread earned on a mature network can be spent quickly on an immature one.

Whether Mobily's crossover holds

Mobily has closed most of the gap to the incumbent on return over cost of capital, from well below it to just short of it. That is either a turnaround completing or a permanently better business emerging, and the two look identical for about three years. If the climb continues, the market stops being one strong operator and two weak ones and becomes something closer to two and one.

Whether dividends stay ahead of cash generation

Payout ratios above what free cash flow supports are funded from somewhere, and on a capital-intensive balance sheet that somewhere is usually debt or deferred maintenance of the network. It is the clearest early signal that a distribution policy is being set by shareholder expectation rather than by the business.